Impact of psychological and physiological factors on endurance performance prediction

  1. Irati Ortiz de Anda Martín 1
  2. Iker Muñoz Pérez 1
  3. Erika Borrajo Mena 1
  4. Asier Del Arco Paniagua 1
  1. 1 Universidad de Deusto
    info

    Universidad de Deusto

    Bilbao, España

    ROR https://ror.org/00ne6sr39

Journal:
Retos: nuevas tendencias en educación física, deporte y recreación

ISSN: 1579-1726 1988-2041

Year of publication: 2024

Issue: 61

Pages: 774-784

Type: Article

More publications in: Retos: nuevas tendencias en educación física, deporte y recreación

Abstract

El rendimiento en los eventos resistencia es un fenómeno multifactorial complejo, por lo que deben considerarse diversas variables para proporcionar una predicción precisa del tiempo en las carreras. Hasta la fecha se han utilizado las variables fisiológicas como principales predictores, ignorando el potencial predictivo de otros factores como las variables psicológicas. El objetivo principal de este estudio fue proporcionar una ecuación para predecir el rendimiento en 10K, utilizando tanto factores fisiológicos como psicológicos como variables explicativas. Participaron en el estudio 13 corredores varones (Peso 68,06 ± 18,73 kg; Altura 174,31 ± 5,39 cm; edad 39,5 ± 8,5 años; 57,34 ± 5,03 ml - kg -min VO2MAX). Se estableció un modelo de regresión múltiple utilizando un enfoque de regresión por pasos basado en mínimos cuadrados ordinarios. Tras comprobar las posibles colinealidades, los resultados mostraron el VVO2MAX (β=-1,03), activación (β=0,17) y Aislamiento (β=0,19), como mejores predictores del tiempo en la prueba de 10K. La regresión resultante mostró un coeficiente de determinación (R2) de 0,98 y RMSE= 50,30 s. VVO2MAX fue el mejor predictor del rendimiento en 10K. Sin embargo, los factores psicológicos, como la activación y el aislamiento, explican la varianza adicional. Un mayor VVO2MAX, una menor activación y un mayor aislamiento podrían permitir un mejor rendimiento en la carrera de 10K.

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