White-box flight simulator built with system dynamics to support urban transportation decision-making and address induced travel demand

  1. Juan Sebastian Angarita Zapata 1
  2. Hugo Hernando Andrade Sosa 2
  3. Antonio David Masegosa Arredondo 3
  1. 1 University of Deusto in Bilbao, Spain
  2. 2 Universidad Industrial de Santander (UIS), Colombia
  3. 3 Deusto Institute of Technology, España
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Journal:
Scientia et Technica

ISSN: 0122-1701

Year of publication: 2020

Volume: 25

Issue: 3

Pages: 438-447

Type: Article

DOI: 10.22517/23447214.23381 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openDialnet editor

More publications in: Scientia et Technica

Abstract

Induced Travel Demand is a phenomenon (ITD) wherein building new road infrastructure increases private car use. ITD has been measured and corroborated by means of econometric models that give an account of how much travel demand can be induced after road construction, without claims of causality in their inner structure (black-box approach). However, beyond the contributions of black-box models, it is still necessary to explain structurally this phenomenon for understanding and identifying its causes, which then allow policy-makers to design comprehensive policies to deal with ITD in urban context wherein new roads are still needed to guarantee connectivity. In this paper, we present a white-box flight simulator based on a System Dynamics model to support urban transportation decision-making and address ITD. Through the simulator developed, it is possible to improve the causal understanding of ITD and, although the considered policies to intervene this phenomenon have a conceptual connotation, the simulator is a means to acquire knowledge of the structural complexity underlying the interaction between the policies and ITD.

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