Economic recession shake-out and entrepreneurshipevidence from Spain

  1. José L. González-Pernía 1
  2. Maribel Guerrero 2
  3. Andres Jung 3
  4. Peña-Legazkue 1
  1. 1 Universidad de Deusto
    info

    Universidad de Deusto

    Bilbao, España

    ROR https://ror.org/00ne6sr39

  2. 2 Newcastle Bussiness School
  3. 3 Universidad Católica del Uruguay
    info

    Universidad Católica del Uruguay

    Montevideo, Uruguay

    ROR https://ror.org/019xvpc30

Journal:
Business Research Quarterly

ISSN: 2340-9444 2340-9436

Year of publication: 2018

Volume: 21

Issue: 3

Pages: 153-167

Type: Article

DOI: 10.1016/J.BRQ.2018.06.001 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openOpen access editor

More publications in: Business Research Quarterly

Abstract

This article aims to gain a better understanding of the relationship between economic recession and entrepreneurship. The process of entrepreneurship, rather than the action itself, is a complex phenomenon, and such complexity surfaces when local context conditions worsen after an economic recession. This paper addresses the issue of how the likelihood of individuals to engage in the creation of new firms is affected by a recessionary climate. Furthermore, the study focuses on how the recession-driven shake-out effect varies across local contexts (i.e., sub-national regions). The case of Spain in the critical period of 2007–2010 is examined by using multilevel logistic mediation models on individual-level and sub-national region-level panel data. The results show that entrepreneurship shrinks during economic downturns, suggesting a pro-cyclical trend. A weaker perception by individuals of business opportunities resulting from the shake-out explains, to a large extent, the lower propensity to create firms during economic recession

Funding information

The authors are grateful for the financial support of IT-1050, granted by the Department of Education of the Basque Government

Bibliographic References

  • Acs, Z., Armington, C., Employment growth and entrepreneurial activity in cities. Reg. Stud. 38:8 (2004), 911–927.
  • Acs, Z., Storey, D., Introduction: entrepreneurship and economic development. Reg. Stud. 38:8 (2004), 871–877.
  • Acs, Z.J., Szerb, L., Autio, E., Global Entrepreneurship and Development Index 2014. 2015, Springer, New York, NY.
  • Arenius, P., Minniti, M., Perceptual variables and nascent entrepreneurship. Small Bus. Econ. 24:3 (2005), 233–247.
  • Armington, C., Acs, Z.J., The determinants of regional variation in new firm formation. Reg. Stud. 36:1 (2002), 33–45.
  • Audretsch, D.B., Acs, Z.J., New-firm startups, technology, and macroeconomic fluctuations. Small Bus. Econ. 6:6 (1994), 439–449.
  • Audretsch, D.B., Fritsch, M., The geography of firm births in Germany. Reg. Stud. 28:4 (1994), 359–365.
  • Audretsch, D.B., Peña-Legazkue, I., Entrepreneurial activity and regional competitiveness: an introduction to the special issue. Small Bus. Econ. 39:3 (2011), 531–537.
  • Audretsch, D.B., Thurik, A.R., What's new about the new economy? Sources of growth in the managed and entrepreneurial economies. Ind. Corp. Change 10:1 (2001), 267–315.
  • Baron, R.M., Kenny, D.A., The moderator-mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations. J. Personal. Soc. Psychol. 51:6 (1986), 1173–1182.
  • Bishop, P., Shilcof, D., The spatial dynamics of new firm births during an economic crisis: the case of Great Britain, 2004–2012. Entrepr. Reg. Dev. 29:3–4 (2017), 215–237.
  • Bosma, N., The Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) and its impact on Entrepreneurship Research. Found. Trends Entrepr. 9:2 (2013), 143–248.
  • Bosma, N., van Stel, A., Suddle, K., The geography of new firm formation: evidence from independent start-ups and new subsidiaries in the Netherlands. Int. Entrep. Manage. J. 4:2 (2008), 129–146.
  • Bowerman, B.L., O'Connell, R.T., Linear Statistical Models: An Applied Approach. 2nd ed., 1990, Duxbury Press, Belmont, CA.
  • Camelo-Ordaz, C., Diánez-González, J.P., Ruiz-Navarro, J., The influence of gender on entrepreneurial intention: the mediating role of perceptual factors. Bus. Res. Q. 19:4 (2016), 261–277.
  • Carrasco, R., Transitions to and from self-employment in Spain: an empirical analysis. Oxf. Bull. Econ. Stat. 61:3 (1999), 315–341.
  • Carree, M., van Stel, A., Thurik, R., Wennekers, S., Economic development and business ownership: an analysis using data of 23 OECD countries in the period 1976–1996. Small Bus. Econ. 19:3 (2002), 271–290.
  • Carreira, C., Teixeira, P., Entry and exit in severe recessions: lessons from the 2008–2013 Portuguese economic crisis. Small Bus. Econ. 46:4 (2016), 591–617.
  • Congregado, E., Golpe, A.A., Parker, S.C., The dynamics of entrepreneurship: hysteresis, business cycles and government policy. Empir. Econ. 43:3 (2012), 1239–1261.
  • Evans, D.S., Leighton, L.S., Small business formation by unemployed and employed workers. Small Bus. Econ. 2:4 (1990), 319–330.
  • Fairlie, R.W., Entrepreneurship, economic conditions, and the great recession. J. Econ. Manage. Strategy 22:2 (2013), 207–231.
  • Fairlie, R.W., Fossen, F.M., Opportunity versus necessity entrepreneurship: two components of business creation. IZA Discussion Paper 11258. 2018, IZA Institute of Labor Economics.
  • Feldman, M.P., The entrepreneurial event revisited: firm formation in a regional context. Ind. Corp. Change 10:4 (2001), 861–891.
  • Foster, L., Grim, C., Haltiwanger, J., Reallocation in the great recession: cleansing or not?. J. Labor Econ. 34:S1 (2016), S293–S331.
  • Fritsch, M., How does new business formation affect regional development? Introduction to the special issue. Small Bus. Econ. 30:1 (2008), 1–14.
  • Fritsch, M., Kritikos, A., Pijnenburg, K., Business cycles, unemployment and entrepreneurial entry—evidence from Germany. Int. Entrep. Manage. J. 11:2 (2015), 267–286.
  • Fuentelsaz, L., González, C., Maícas, J.P., Montero, J., How different formal institutions affect opportunity and necessity entrepreneurship. Bus. Res. Q. 18:4 (2015), 246–258.
  • Geroski, P.A., What do we know about entry?. Int. J. Ind. Organ. 13:4 (1995), 421–440.
  • Ghatak, M., Morelli, M., Sjöström, T., Entrepreneurial talent, occupational choice, and trickle up policies. J. Econ. Theory 137:1 (2007), 27–48.
  • González-Pernía, J.L., Jung, A., Peña, I., Innovation-driven entrepreneurship in developing economies. Entrepr. Reg. Dev. 27:9–10 (2015), 555–573.
  • González-Pernía, J.L., Peña-Legazkue, I., Vendrell-Herrero, F., Innovation, entrepreneurial activity and competitiveness at a sub-national level. Small Bus. Econ. 39:3 (2012), 561–574.
  • Guerrero, M., Peña-Legazkue, I., The effect of intrapreneurial experience on corporate venturing: evidence from developed economies. Int. Entrep. Manage. J. 9 (2013), 397–416, 10.1007/s11365-013-0260-9.
  • Guo, G., Zhao, H., Multilevel modeling for binary data. Annu. Rev. Sociol. 26:1 (2000), 441–462.
  • Hastie, R., Problems for judgment and decision making. Annu. Rev. Psychol. 52:1 (2001), 653–683.
  • Highfield, R., Smiley, R., New business starts and economic activity: an empirical investigation. Int. J. Ind. Organ. 5:1 (1987), 51–66.
  • IMF. World Economic Outlook Update: Contractionary Forces Receding But Weak Recovery Ahead, 2009, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC.
  • Jimenez, A., Palmero-Cámara, C., González-Santos, M.J., González-Bernal, J., Jiménez-Eguizábal, J.A., The impact of educational levels on formal and informal entrepreneurship. Bus. Res. Q. 18:3 (2015), 204–212.
  • Knight, F.H., Risk, Uncertainty and Profit. 1921, Houghton Mifflin, Boston, MA.
  • Koellinger, P.D., Thurik, A.R., Entrepreneurship and the business cycle. Rev. Econ. Stat. 94:4 (2012), 1143–1156.
  • Krueger, N., The impact of prior entrepreneurial exposure on perceptions of new venture feasibility and desirability. Entrep. Theory Pract. 18:1 (1993), 5–21.
  • Lee, J.-H., Venkataraman, S., Aspirations, market offerings, and the pursuit of entrepreneurial opportunities. J. Bus. Ventur. 21:1 (2006), 107–123.
  • Lévesque, M., Minniti, M., The effect of aging on entrepreneurial behavior. J. Bus. Ventur. 21:2 (2006), 177–194.
  • MacKinnon, D.P., Introduction to Statistical Mediation Analysis. 2008, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, New York, NY.
  • Mackinnon, D.P., Dwyer, J.H., Estimating mediated effects in prevention studies. Eval. Rev. 17:2 (1993), 144–158.
  • McMullen, J.S., Shepherd, D.A., Entrepreneurial action and the role of uncertainty in the theory of the entrepreneur. Acad. Manage. Rev. 31:1 (2006), 132–152.
  • Mickiewicz, T., Hart, M., Nyakudya, F., Theodorakopoulos, N., Ethnic pluralism, immigration and entrepreneurship. Reg. Stud., 2017, 10.1080/00343404.2017.1405157 (forthcoming).
  • Minniti, M., Naudé W., What do we know about the patterns and determinants of female entrepreneurship across countries?. Eur. J. Dev. Res. 22:3 (2010), 277–293.
  • Mishkin, F.S., The Next Great Globalization. 2006, Princeton University Press, Princeton.
  • Mishkin, F.S., Over the cliff: from the subprime to the global financial crisis. J. Econ. Perspect. 25:1 (2011), 49–70.
  • Mitchell, R.K., Busenitz, L., Lant, T., McDougall, P.P., Morse, E.A., Smith, J.B., Toward a theory of entrepreneurial cognition: rethinking the people side of entrepreneurship research. Entrep. Theory Pract. 27:2 (2002), 93–104.
  • Nabi, G., Liñán, F., Considering business start-up in recession time: the role of risk perception and economic context in shaping the entrepreneurial intent. Int. J. Entrep. Behav. Res. 19:6 (2013), 633–655.
  • O'Brien, J.P., Folta, T.B., Johnson, D.R., A real options perspective on entrepreneurial entry in the face of uncertainty. Manage. Decis. Econ. 24:8 (2003), 515–533.
  • Papaoikonomou, E., Segarra, P., Li, X., Entrepreneurship in the context of crisis: identifying barriers and proposing strategies. Int. Adv. Econ. Res. 18:1 (2012), 111–119.
  • Parker, S.C., Entrepreneurship in Recession. 2011, Edward Elgar Pub., Massachusetts.
  • Parker, S.C., Theories of entrepreneurship, innovation and the business cycle. J. Econ. Surv. 26:3 (2012), 377–394.
  • Parker, S.C., Congregado, E., Golpe, A.A., Is entrepreneurship a leading or lagging indicator of the business cycle? Evidence from UK self-employment data. Int. Small Bus. J. 30:7 (2012), 736–753.
  • Peña, I., Guerrero, M., Gonzalez-Pernía, J.L., Montero, J., Zapata Huamaní G.A., Fernández López, S., Neira Gómez, I., De Pablo López, I., De de León No Sánchez, J., Global Entrepreneurship Monitor: Informe GEM España 2017-2018. 2018, Santander: Asociación Red GEM España; CISE Centro Internacional Santander Emprendimiento.
  • Rampini, A.A., Entrepreneurial activity, risk, and the business cycle. J. Monet. Econ. 51:3 (2004), 555–573.
  • Reynolds, P., Autonomous firm dynamics and economic growth in the United States, 1986–1990. Reg. Stud. 28:4 (1994), 429–442.
  • Reynolds, P., Bosma, N., Autio, E., Hunt, S., De Bono, N., Servais, I., Lopez-Garcia, P., Chin, N., Global entrepreneurship monitor: data collection design and implementation 1998–2003. Small Bus. Econ. 24:3 (2005), 205–231.
  • Reynolds, P., Storey, D.J., Westhead, P., Cross-national comparisons of the variation in new firm formation rates. Reg. Stud. 28:4 (1994), 443–456.
  • Reynolds, P.D., Bygrave, W.D., Autio, E., Cox, L.W., Hay, M., Global Entrepreneurship Monitor: Executive Report. 2002, Babson College, London Business School and Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation, Wellesley, MA.
  • Santos, S.C., Caetano, A., Spagnoli, P., Costa, S.F., Neumeyer, X., Predictors of entrepreneurial activity before and during the European economic crisis. Int. Entrep. Manage. J. 13:4 (2017), 1263–1288.
  • Shane, S., The great recession's effect on entrepreneurship. Economic Commentary Nº 2001-04. 2011, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Cleveland.
  • Shane, S., Venkataraman, S., The promise of enterpreneurship as a field of research. Acad. Manage. J. 25:1 (2000), 217–226.
  • Simón-Moya, V., Revuelto-Taboada, L., Ribeiro-Soriano, D., Influence of economic crisis on new SME survival: reality or fiction?. Entrep. Reg. Dev. 28:1–2 (2016), 157–176.
  • Simón-Moya, V., Revuelto-Taboada, L., Fernández-Guerrero, R., Institutional and economic drivers of entrepreneurship: an international perspective. J. Bus. Res. 67:5 (2014), 715–721.
  • Sobel, M.E., Asymptotic confidence intervals for indirect effects in structural equations models. Leinhart, S., (eds.) Sociological Methodology, 1982, Jossey-Bass, San Francisco, 290–312.
  • Sternberg, R., Rocha, H.O., Why entrepreneurship is a regional event: theoretical arguments, empirical evidence, and policy consequences. Rice, M.P., Habbershon, T.G., (eds.) Entrepreneurship: The Engine of Growth, vol. 3, 2007, Praeger Publishers, Westport, CT, 215–237.
  • Storey, D.J., The birth of new firms: does unemployment matter? A review of the evidence. Small Bus. Econ. 3:3 (1991), 167–178.
  • Storey, D.J., Johnson, S., Job Generation and Labour Market Change. 1987, Macmillan, London.
  • Stuetzer, M., Obschonka, M., Brixy, U., Sternberg, R., Cantner, U., Regional characteristics, opportunity perception and entrepreneurial activities. Small Bus. Econ. 42:2 (2014), 221–244.
  • Suarez, F.F., Oliva, R., Environmental change and organizational transformation. Ind. Corp. Change 14:6 (2005), 1017–1041.
  • Vegetti, F., Adăscăliţei, D., The impact of the economic crisis on latent and early entrepreneurship in Europe. Int. Entrepr. Manage. J. 13:4 (2017), 1289–1314.
  • Welter, F., Contextualizing entrepreneurship-conceptual challenges and ways forward. Entrep. Theory Pract. 35:1 (2011), 165–184.
  • Williams, N., Vorley, T., Economic resilience and entrepreneurship: lessons from the Sheffield City Region. Entrep. Reg. Dev. 26:3–4 (2014), 257–281.
  • Williams, N., Vorley, T., The impact of institutional change on entrepreneurship in a crisis-hit economy: the case of Greece. Entrep. Reg. Dev. 27:1–2 (2015), 28–49.
  • World Bank. Global Development Finance 2009: Charting a Global Recovery, 2009, World Bank, Washington, DC.