On the informational role of term structure in the U.S. monetary policy rule

  1. Vázquez, Jesús
  2. María-Dolores Pedrero, Ramón
  3. Londoño Yarce, Juan Miguel
Revue:
Documentos de trabajo - Banco de España

ISSN: 0213-2710

Année de publication: 2009

Número: 19

Pages: 9-49

Type: Working Paper

D'autres publications dans: Documentos de trabajo - Banco de España

Résumé

The term spread may play a major role in a monetary policy rule whenever data revisions of output and inflation are not well behaved. In this paper we use a structural approach based on the indirect inference principle to estimate a standard version of the New Keynesian Monetary (NKM) model augmented with term structure using both revised and real-time data. The estimation results show that the term spread becomes a significant determinant of the U.S. estimated monetary policy rule when revised and real-time data of output and inflation are both considered.